Future Coal Production Outlooks in the Ipcc Emission Scenarios: Are They Plausible?

Validity of the fossil fuel production outlooks in the IPCC Emission Scenarios

Anthropogenic global warming caused by CO2 emissions is strongly and fundamentally linked to future energy production. The Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) from 2000 contains 40 scenarios for future fossil fuel production and is used by the IPCC to assess future climate change. Previous scenarios were withdrawn after exaggerating one or several trends. This study investigates underly...

DGVM responses to the latest IPCC future climate scenarios

In the spring of 2006, the future looked bright and we were sure our special issue would be coming out before Christmas. It is now spring 2007 and the future has shown us that no one has a crystal ball, not even modelers, to predict the future. A new job and a major family health crisis changed the lives of the two guest editors. Furthermore delays in the original submission of the final versio...

Interpreting the IPCC Emissions Scenarios

This paper discusses how two sets of emissions scenarios, generated using the Atmospheric Stabilization Framework, were used by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In particular it discusses how the scenarios were specified, what roles models played in developing the scenarios, and how the scenarios were interpreted by participants in the IPCC process. It draws ...

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Ipcc Expert Meeting on Emission Scenarios

Assumptions of Spontaneous Decarbonization in the IPCC AR5 Baseline Scenarios

Projections of future climate change depend upon future anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. In preparation for its Fifth Assessment Report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change implemented a new approach to generating emissions scenarios, called ‘Representative Concentration Pathways’ (RCPs), which replace the scenarios in the ‘Special Report on Emissions Scenarios’ (SRES). The RCP...